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š¬ Wicked Plot Twist
Guilds Reveal Nominations, TikTok's Fate Uncertain, and MORE!
š Good morning. Our hearts are heavy this week as devastating wildfires continue to ravage Los Angeles. Many of our industry colleagues have lost their homes. From Malibu to the Hollywood Hills, this is a developing crisis affecting thousands across our community. Our thoughts are with everyone impacted during this difficult time.
Welcome aboard the Dailies. As you sip your morning brew, weāll get you caught up with the fast-paced world of Hollywoodāno need to chase down a newsstand, weāve got everything you need right here.
š Hereās whatās on the reel today:
Awards Race Shapes Up
āWickedā Crushes PVOD
TikTokās Uncertain Fate
Last Looks: š Bite-sized scoops on developing stories/projects
Video Village: The latest trailers
Release Radar: What to watch this weekend
Martini Shot šø
But first, itās Friday, so letās take a look at what people were watching this weekā¦ š
TOP STREAMED
š What U.S. audiences were watching this weekā¦
FILM š„ Netflix: In the Heart of the Sea Max: Juror #2 Disney+: Deadpool & Wolverine Prime Video: The Fall Guy Paramount+: Dear Santa Hulu: Motherās Instinct Apple TV+: Fly Me to the Moon Peacock: Despicable Me 4 | TV šŗ Netflix: Squid Game Max: The Sex Lives of College Girls Disney+: Star Wars: Skeleton Crew Prime Video: Beast Games Paramount+: Landman Hulu: 20/20 Apple TV+: Silo Peacock: The Office |
CLOSEUP
š The awards race continues to shape upā¦
Academy voting has kicked off, but there's no clear frontrunner in sight. Even after āThe Brutalistā took Drama and āEmilia PĆ©rezā grabbed Musical/Comedy at the Globes, the race remains wide open. Now, a flurry of guild nominations are reshaping the awards landscape.
š The Screen Actors Guild just revealed their nominations, and they're painting a very different picture than early awards season predictions suggested. Remember: actors make up the Academy's largest voting bloc, so these noms aren't just another trophyāthey're a serious crystal ball for Oscar night. Some key developments:
āWickedā joins an ultra-exclusive club, becoming only the sixth film ever to score five SAG noms. Fun fact: three of the previous five went on to win Best Picture at the Oscars.
āA Complete Unknownā emerges as a dark horse, nabbing four nods including the crucial ensemble nominationāimpressive for a film that skipped the fall festival circuit.
British charmer Jonathan Bailey scored a supporting actor nod for āWicked,ā knocking out favorites like Clarence Maclin and Guy Pearce. Nobody saw that coming.
Golden Globe champ āThe Brutalistā hits a speed bump, managing just one nomination.
āEmilia PĆ©rezā keeps its victory lap going with three nominations fresh off its Globe win.
Kieran Culkin (āA Real Painā) and Zoe SaldaƱa (āEmilia PĆ©rezā) cement frontrunner status
Surprise acting nods for Pamela Anderson and Jamie Lee Curtis in āThe Last Showgirlā suggest the industry veterans have serious support among their peers.
š¬ The Directors Guild threw their own curveball into the mix with an unprecedented slate of first-time nominees. Why it matters: Only twice in 95 years has a film won Best Picture without a DGA nomination. Itās also worth noting that while DGA voters typically favor mainstream American films over international fare (unlike the Oscars), this year theyāve gone surprisingly global.
James Mangold lands his first DGA nom for Bob Dylan biopic āA Complete Unknownā
Edward Berger makes the cut for religious thriller āConclaveā
French auteur Jacques Audiard lands a spot for āEmilia PĆ©rezā
Notable snubs for Jon M. Chu (āWickedā) and Denis Villeneuve (āDune: Part Twoā)
First time in recent memory with no previous DGA nominees in the lineup
š As wildfires rage across Los Angeles County, Hollywood's carefully orchestrated awards timeline is getting an emergency rewrite. The new timeline:
Oscar noms voting extended to Jan. 14, announcement moved to Jan. 19
Critics Choice Awards postponed from Jan. 12 to Jan. 26
WGA noms pushed to Jan. 13
PGA noms delayed to Jan. 12
Multiple Oscar shortlist screenings and "bake-offs" canceled or moved virtual
Looking ahead... With Oscar voting underway and these major guild nominations landing, the race feels more unpredictable than ever. āWicked'sā SAG showing suggests major industry support, while the DGA's embrace of fresh voices could signal an appetite for change. The Academy Awards ceremony remains set for Mar. 2.
WIDESHOT
š¬ āWickedā crushes PVOD, and TikTokās fateā¦
š¬š° 'Wicked' is challenging old Hollywood wisdom about theatrical vs. PVOD revenue streams. Universal reports the musical adaptation is crushing it in digital, raking in $70M in its first week of digital releaseātheir biggest PVOD debut everāafter already conjuring up $682M at theaters. This success flips the script on traditional thinking: rather than hurting ticket sales, releasing films to digital just weeks after their theatrical debut might actually work in studios' favor. Universal's been testing these waters since COVID, moving away from the old three-month theater exclusive window to getting movies on digital platforms faster. While some fans grumble about paying premium prices for early home viewing, 'Wicked's' performance suggests the strategy worksāat least for blockbusters. With studios keeping a bigger cut of digital sales (80%) compared to theater tickets (50-65%), and Universal's total PVOD revenue surpassing $1.5B since launching their shortened-window strategy, the industry might need to rethink its release playbook.
š±āļø TikTok's fate hangs in the Supreme Court balance today. The social media powerhouse is fighting to avoid a Jan. 19 shutdown that could cut off its 170M U.S. users. The stakes are particularly high for entertainment marketers, who've made TikTok a cornerstone of film and TV promotionāthe platform's algorithm has proven uniquely powerful at driving youth audiences to theaters and streaming platforms. The drama has a political twist: President-elect Trump, now a TikTok super-user with 14.7M followers, is pushing for time to broker a deal after dining with CEO Shou Zi Chew at Mar-a-Lago. Meanwhile, content creators who've turned TikTok into a booming short-form entertainment ecosystem are anxiously eyeing backup platforms. The platform's potential shutdown threatens to disrupt both traditional studios' marketing playbooks and an emerging generation of digital storytellers who've found success with TikTok's vertical video format. With the company claiming it could lose a third of daily users from just a month-long shutdown, the court's decision could reshape not just social media, but much of Hollywood's digital strategy.
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LAST LOOKS
Development šļø
Tom Holland will star in and produce Universalās adaptation of John Grishamās āThe Partner,ā with Graham Moore penning the script. (more)
Colman Domingo joins Edgar Wrightās āThe Running Manā as the charismatic game-show host in Paramountās reimagining of the dystopian thriller. (more)
Donnie Yen is in talks to direct and star in a āJohn Wickā spin-off centered on his character Caine. (more)
Business š¤
NBCUniversal and Nexstar renew a multi-year distribution deal covering 33 markets and over 14M households. (more)
DirecTV and EchoStar evaluate options after the Venu Sports settlement, warning of antitrust concerns and competitive disadvantages. (more)
Comcast NBCUniversalās āSpinCoā fills key leadership roles, appointing Val Boreland as head of entertainment ahead of its year-end launch. (more)
Warner Bros. shakes up leadership as Josh Goldstine and Andrew Cripps exit, with Jeff Goldstein leading global distribution. (more)
Disney reports an average of 157M global monthly streaming users, including 112M domestic, over the past six months. (more)
Other News šØ
Letterboxd hits 17M members in 2024, cementing its role as a key driver for indie films and celebrating āDune: Part Twoā as the yearās top-rated movie. (more)
The Emmys introduce new rules barring repeat Guest Performer nominations for series regulars, expanding directing eligibility, and refining casting and music criteria for future awards. (more)
Netflixās inaugural āMonday Night Rawā event drew 2.6M same-day U.S. households, surpassing the showās USA Network average and marking a milestone under WWEās $5B streaming deal. (more)
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RELEASE RADAR
š
What to watch this weekend?
š„ THEATRICAL
Den of Thieves 2: Pantera: Crime thriller sequel with Gerard Butler and O'Shea Jackson Jr., directed by Christian Gudegast.
Better Man: Musical biopic about Robbie Williams expands wide, directed by āThe Greatest Showman'sā Michael Gracey.
Hard Truths: Family drama from acclaimed director Mike Leigh starring Marianne Jean-Baptiste.
The Last Showgirl: Drama starring Pamela Anderson in a Golden Globe-nominated turn, directed by Gia Coppola.
šŗ STREAMING
The Pitt: (Max) Medical drama series starring Noah Wyle as an ER doctor, from ER veterans R. Scott Gemmill and John Wells.
American Primeval: (Netflix) Western miniseries starring Taylor Kitsch and Betty Gilpin, directed by Peter Berg.
Goosebumps: The Vanishing (Disney+) S2 of the teen horror series adapting classic R.L. Stine stories.
Bank of Dave 2: The Loan Ranger: (Netflix) British comedy-drama sequel, with Hugh Bonneville and Dan Fogler.
The Traitors: (Peacock) S3 of the Emmy-winning reality competition returns with Alan Cumming hosting.
š® BOX OFFICE PREVIEW
As devastating wildfires impact Los Angeles communities, with multiple theater closures in the nation's top market (including marquee locations like AMC Universal CityWalk and AMC Americana), this weekend's box office will be significantly affected. Three films are projected to finish close together: 'Mufasa' and 'Sonic 3' each tracking for $12-15M in their fourth weeks, while newcomer 'Den of Thieves 2' aims for a similar $12-15M opening. 'Better Man' expands to 1,200 theaters with expectations in the low single digits.
VIDEO VILLAGE
šŗ Latest trailers
Aaaaand... that's a wrap! If you're reading this email because a friend hooked you up, don't fretājust hit that subscribe button and join the party. š§š
Have a great weekend! Catch you bright and early on Monday.
-The Dailies Team
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