šŸŽ¬ Hollywood 2.0

Oscars Voting Ending Soon, Weekend Awards Roundup, Berlinale Update, and MORE!

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šŸŽž Hereā€™s whatā€™s on the reel today:
  • Weekend Awards Round-up

  • Vegas as Hollywood 2.0?

  • YouTube and Paramountā€™s Last-Minute Deal

  • Berlinale Update

  • Last Looks: šŸ‘€ Bite-sized scoops on developing stories/projects

  • Video Village: The latest trailers

  • Call Sheet: The week ahead

  • Martini Shot šŸø

But first, letā€™s take a look at what happened at the box office this past weekend!

BOX OFFICE BREAKDOWN
šŸŽŸļø Presidents Day packs the multiplexesā€¦

Captain America: Brave New World

  1. šŸ¦øā€ā™‚ļø Captain America: Brave New World: $88.5M domestic weekend, projected $100M 4-day holiday, $192.4M global. Fourth-best Presidents Day launch ever but concerning B- CinemaScore (lowest ever for MCU).

  2. šŸ§ø Paddington in Peru: $13M domestic opening, $128.8M global total. Third ā€˜Paddingtonā€™ installment earns stellar A CinemaScore and 94% on RT, but can't grow its stateside audience despite universal acclaim. Previous entries both crossed $240M globally.

  3. šŸ’˜ Heart Eyes: $10M domestic weekend (+20%), $22.6M domestic total. Valentine's Day slasher shows surprising legs with rare horror movie hold. Good news for Spyglass on their $18M investment.

  4. šŸ• Dog Man: $9.73M domestic weekend (-30%), $69.5M domestic total, $84.4M global. Universal's animated adventure still fetching solid numbers in week three.

  5. šŸ‰ Ne Zha 2: $7.3M domestic opening from just 660 screens ($11,061 PSA). The Chinese animated phenomenon has already amassed $1.046B in its home market, becoming the highest-grossing Chinese film in history.

  6. šŸ’” Love Hurts: $4.37M domestic weekend (-25%), $12.9M total. Rom-com feeling the Valentine's Day love despite mixed reviews.

  7. šŸ¦ Mufasa: The Lion King: $4.15M domestic weekend (+4%), $240.76M domestic total. Holding strong in its ninth frame.

  8. šŸŽ­ One of Them Days: $2.97M domestic weekend (+4%), $43.51M domestic total. Strong hold for Sony's indie dramedy in week five.

  9. šŸ‘„ Companion: $1.87M domestic weekend (-38%), $18.76M domestic total. Horror hit losing steam in week three after shedding over 2,000 theaters.

  10. āœˆļø Flight Risk: $1.64M domestic weekend (-36%), $27.9M domestic total. Lionsgate thriller descending in fourth frame.

The Big Picture: Presidents Day weekend brought some much-needed heat to 2025's box office with $153.3M overall, up nearly 49% from 2024. While ā€˜Captain Americaā€™sā€™ numbers might look soft by MCU standards (especially given that B- grade), it's worth noting this is the biggest opening of the year so far. The real test comes next weekendā€”recent Marvel entries with mixed reception have taken steep second-week drops.

CLOSEUP
šŸ† Oscars voters have 24 hours left to decideā€¦

ā€˜Conclaveā€™ wins Best Film at the BAFTA Awards.

Just as Oscar voters are making their final picks, we got hit with a weekend triple-header of awards that's shaking things up:

šŸŽ­ BAFTA

  • Well, well, well... 'Conclave' and 'The Brutalist' both snagged 4 wins each, with 'Conclave' taking home the big prize. (But don't get too excitedā€”BAFTA and Oscar have only agreed on Best Picture twice in the last decade.)

  • Mikey Madison (ā€˜Anoraā€™) shocked by beating Demi Moore turning Best Actress into a genuine two-way race.

  • Safe bets for Oscar night? Adrien Brody's win feels like a lock, and 'Wicked's' costume wizardry is probably heading to the Academy stage too.

  • Brady Corbet landed Best Director for ā€˜The Brutalist,ā€™ adding another voice to an already wide-open Oscar directing race

āœļø WGA Awards

  • Sean Baker hit the rare guild trifecta with ā€˜Anoraā€™ winning Original Screenplay (after DGA and PGA wins)

  • ā€˜Nickel Boysā€™ took Adapted Screenplay, though Oscar heavyweights ā€˜Sing Singā€™ and ā€˜Conclaveā€™ weren't eligible as they werenā€™t produced under WGA jurisdiction

  • Remember: WGA winners often translate to Oscar gold, even in years with different nominee lineups

  • The guild splits film prizes into three categories, with each Oscar nominee winning their division: ā€˜Wickedā€™ (Fantasy), ā€˜Nosferatuā€™ (Period), and ā€˜Conclaveā€™ (Contemporary)

  • For you stats nerds: ADG picks have matched Oscar's taste 19 out of 28 times.

  • ā€˜Conclaveā€™ getting another win here (plus its BAFTA haul) suggests strong below-the-line support

Looking ahead... Some films are hitting their stride just as voters hit "submit":

  • ā€˜Anoraā€™ is looking mighty strong for Best Pictureā€”it's now won PGA, DGA, and WGA, a combo that's only missed Best Picture once (in 2006 with ā€˜Brokeback Mountainā€™)

  • Don't sleep on 'Nickel Boys'ā€”it's got that scrappy underdog energy plus Orion Pictures' magic touch (they delivered the last two Adapted Screenplay Oscar winners)

  • ā€˜Conclaveā€™ isn't slowing down eitherā€”BAFTA Best Film win and strong below-the-line showing suggest broad support

The bigger picture: This year's race is unusually fluid, with multiple films peaking at exactly the right moment. With Oscar voting wrapping up tomorrow, these last-minute victories could prove decisive.

WIDESHOT
šŸŽ¬ Vegas, YouTube TV, and Berlin Film Festivalā€¦

Rendering of Summerlin Studios. Credit: Howard Hughes Holdings.

šŸŽ¬šŸŽ° Vegas is making a $1.8B bet on becoming "Hollywood 2.0." A new bill backed by Sony Pictures and Howard Hughes Holdings could transform Sin City into a major production hub, offering $80M in annual tax credits through 2043ā€”but with a catch (thereā€™s always a catch in Vegasā€¦). Unlike with traditional film incentives that simply attract temporary shoots, Sony's got to prove they mean business by building permanent digs and dropping $100M yearly on production for a full decade before seeing any of that tax credit cash. The blueprints are ambitious: 13 buildings sprawling across Summerlin Studios, plus an $8M vocational training facility to grow their own crew talent (with a rule that 50% of below-line crew must be Nevada residents). Spearheaded by Mark Wahlberg, who pitched the idea after moving to Vegas, the initiative promises 17,000 permanent jobs averaging $113K annually. If lawmakers give this the green light, it could shake up how regions compete for entertainment dollarsā€”less about quick wins, more about building something that lasts.

šŸ“ŗšŸ¤YouTube TV just became too big for Paramount to play hardball with. After some heated negotiations, the streaming service reached a last-minute deal with Paramount Global, preventing a blackout that would have yanked CBS, Nickelodeon, Comedy Central, and a whole buffet of other channels from its 8M+ subscribers. The multi-year agreement also brings Paramount+ and BET+ to YouTube's channel store. What's fascinating here is the power shift it represents: YouTube TV, the new kid who showed up just eight years ago as Google's experiment in cord-cutting, has quietly grown into one of America's largest TV providers. For Paramount, already navigating a complex $8B merger with Skydance, the timing was particularly precariousā€”they simply couldn't afford to lose such a massive distribution platform. It's a striking example of how tech-based streaming services have evolved from industry outsiders to kingmakers, wielding the kind of negotiating power that was once exclusive to traditional cable giants.

šŸŽ¬šŸŒ The 75th Berlinale is in full swing, with the first four days revealing key industry shifts and major market moves:

  • New fest chief Tricia Tuttle secures Warner's ā€˜Mickey 17ā€™ from Bong Joon Hoā€”signaling the festivalā€™s push to mix studio premieres with arthouse fare

  • Sales trends at EFM show horror and rom-coms gaining traction in Eastern European territories

  • Traditional sales agents resist AI forecasting tools to assist with sales

  • SĆ£o Paulo makes an aggressive play at EFM to become Latin America's next production hub, unveiling major studio builds and tax incentives for international productions

  • European exhibition numbers raise alarms: The region sees 1% box office dip in 2024, with host Germany down 6.5%

  • Festival's timing clash with the BAFTAs highlights increasingly crowded awards season calendar

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LAST LOOKS
Film Development šŸ—’ļø

  • ā€˜Good Sex,ā€™ Natalie Portman and Lena Dunhamsā€™s rom-com sparks a $45M+ bidding war at EFM. (more)

  • Kate Winslet is making her directorial debut with Netflixā€™s ā€˜Goodbye June,ā€™ a family drama starring Toni Collette, Johnny Flynn, and Helen Mirren. (more)

  • Warner Bros. hires writer Potsy Ponciroli to pen ā€˜The Gooniesā€™ sequel as the classic film nears its 40th anniversary. (more)

  • Benedict Cumberbatch replaces Tom Hardy in Cary Fukunagaā€™s ā€˜Blood on Snow,ā€™ joining Aaron Taylor-Johnson in the Jo Nesbo crime thriller. (more)

  • Lucky Number acquires global sales rights to ā€˜The Bird Kingdom,ā€™ a Brazilian fantasy fable produced by Sacrebleu Productions and Lupa Filmes. (more)

  • Mia Goth and Corey Hawkins join Christopher Nolanā€™s ā€˜The Odyssey.ā€™ (more)

  • Mubi acquires ā€˜The History of Soundā€™ for North America, a WWI-era gay romance starring Paul Mescal and Josh Oā€™Connor. (more)

  • Scott Adkins and Djimon Hounsou team up for ā€˜One Last Fight,ā€™ a high-stakes action-thriller set in Thailandā€™s underground fight scene. (more)

TV Development šŸ“ŗ

  • Hulu and 20th Television have scrapped their planned ā€˜A Court of Thorns and Rosesā€™ TV adaptation. (more)

  • Sophie Thatcher is in talks to lead ā€˜Mr. & Mrs. Smithā€™ S2, stepping into the spy game alongside Mark Eydelshteyn. (more)

  • Catherine Zeta-Jones will star in and produce ā€˜Kill Jackie,ā€™ a Prime Video thriller based on ā€˜The Price You Pay.ā€™ (more)

  • Amazon MGM Studios secures exclusive U.S. streaming rights to ā€˜The Chosenā€™ and inks a first-look deal with 5&2 Studios. (more)

  • RosalĆ­a and Marshawn Lynch join ā€˜Euphoriaā€™ S3, which jumps five years ahead and premieres in 2026. (more)

Renewed & Canceled āœ… āŒ

  • ā€˜XO, Kittyā€™ is renewed for S3 by Netflix. (more)

  • ā€˜The Pittā€™ is renewed for S2 at Max. (more)

Other News šŸšØ

  • The 12th annual Make-Up Artists & Hair Stylists Guild Awards took place over the weekend at the Beverly Hilton. (more)

  • Jimmy Fallonā€™s ā€˜Tonight Showā€™ racked up over 61M social media views during Super Bowl week, fueled by a viral Eagles TikTok. (more)

  • Love The Dailies? Here are more newsletters we love. (more)*

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CALL SHEET
šŸ“… The week aheadā€¦

  • TUESDAY: Oscars voting closes šŸ—³ļø

  • SATURDAY: Independent Spirit Awards šŸ†

  • SUNDAY: SAG Awards šŸŽ­

VIDEO VILLAGE
šŸ“ŗ Latest trailers

MARTINI SHOT
šŸø Latest trends & viral moments

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